How rich was rich?
by Henry P. Kramer
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Mother had tried to teach
me that I had come from a distinguished and rich family in Germany and
that that was important. However, this mythology seemed to me too nostalgic
in a small rural town of the central coast of California. I very quickly
learned to disregard all such talk as I got jobs washing windows in a
drug store on the main street, harvesting almonds by knocking the branches
with a big rubber covered club, and chopping oak wood in the hills for
a charcoal maker who had learned his trade in Michoacan, Mexico. I avoided
the use of big words so as to cause no offense and to behave like one
of the fellows in as many ways as I could. The mythology of a rich Berlin
family was quickly replaced while I was in highschool, at least in spirit
if not in fact, by the mythology of the ten gallon hat, high heeled cowboy
boots, and the monosyllabism of Mr. John Wayne. It took getting away to
the University for me to be cured of that bit of the Wild West.
But then recently I was
visiting an old man, the family's former lawyer, in his London apartment.
It was decorated with Persian rugs and overstuffed sofas and pictures
and knickknacks like many Berlin apartments that I remember from my childhood.
He said to me: "You know that your great grandfather was a very rich
man. When he died in 1905, he had more than five million gold marks."
I expressed the awed disbelief that I felt was expected of me, having
in the meantime turned into an ordinary Western American from California
thousands of miles and an eternity removed from rich Berliners in the
Kaiser's era, even if they were my ancestors.
Having accepted the old
lawyer's assertion that five million gold marks was a great deal of money
and marveling responsively at the enormity of the sum I started wondering.
How much are we really talking about here in terms that I can understand?
How many inflated and devalued, pitiful, ordinary, everyday 1992 dollars
would be equivalent to these mythical 1905 gold marks? Well, thinking
about the matter goaded me into looking around for ways of translating
the one into the other.
The easy way to get some
kind of an answer is to look in the newspaper and find out that one mark,
i.e. one of today's Deutsche Mark is worth about 65 cents of today's dollar.
Great grandfather Julius' five million marks would come out to about two
million dollars. Well, that's a good deal of money, but certainly not
an overwhelming amount today. I know many people whose houses here in
Southern California have appreciated in value in the last thirty years
or so by a factor of about 30. A person whose house is worth now about
two million dollars may have bought it for between sixty and seventy thousand
dollars in 1960. That's a fair sum of money but not enough to cast a spell.
Obviously, looking at the present exchange rate is not the right way to
make the conversion from 1905 gold marks to today's dollars.
Another way might be to
find out the legal gold content of the gold mark and determine the value
in today's dollars of the amount of gold represented by five million gold
marks. Being the fortunate heir to my father's Meyers Lexicon, a German
encyclopedia, I looked up the article "Mark" and found that
according to the German law promulgated 1870/71 the mark was fixed at
1/2790 kg. of fine gold. Today's price of gold, according to the newspaper's
business page, is $333.25 per oz. troy. But I oz. troy is the same as
31.103 gm. Accordingly, great grandfather's five million gold marks if
turned into gold and kept in a vault would be worth today $19, 201,434.66.
This seems like a much
more reasonable figure in keeping with some information that I haven't
yet revealed. A number of families lived extremely well from the proceeds
of great grandfather Julius' fortune without having to struggle to supplement
their income with earnings of their own. Grandfather Paul had a big house
and gardens with two greenhouses where he grew tropical orchids in the
icy Berlin winters. The house and gardens were tended by a number of servants.
The children, one of whom was my mother, were cared for by nannies and
governesses, and later on were started in life with a good education and
presents of money. Paul was a paleontologist of international renown in
his specialty. However, corellating the classification of fossilized remains
of extinct marine fauna with the age of the embedding geological strata
did not produce an income for him. Great-aunt Gertrud lived in a nice
large house with appropriate staff. She was married to uncle Moritz, an
artist whose paintings, alas, did not provide a living for the family.
Great-aunt Martha was married to a distinguished professor of sociology.
However, her family's expansive lifestyle also was not supported by her
husband's earnings from scholarship. In addition, there was great uncle
Alfred, a bachelor of comparatively restricted mental horizon, who lived
simply but comfortably, and great uncle Felix who had been fobbed off
with a minimal inheritance as a result of a family quarrel. Is the sum
of nineteen some million dollars consistent with this knowledge of the
family life style? Let's make a rough test.
Suppose that 1/10 of the
total amount was settled on Felix. Suppose furthermore, and all of this
is simply guesswork, that Paul as the oldest son and administrator of
the estate took 4 units for himself, gave 3 units each to his sisters,
and left I unit for his brother, poor great uncle Alfred, of diminished
capacities. A 6% after tax or tax free yield would provide the equivalent
of $ 94,000 in annual income for Alfred, $283,000 each for Gertrud and
Martha, and $380,000 for Paul. These incomes are perhaps a little skimpy
for the lifestyle that was described to me and that I glimpsed a little
of as a small child.
The calculation of a total
worth of $19,000,000 assumes that the value of gold is constant with time.
This is roughly true. I have read in support of this notion that in George
Washington's day, the late eighteenth century, the price of a good suit
of clothes was one ounce of gold. Today, a fair suit of clothes can be
had off the rack for about $340, which still is roughly the price of an
ounce of gold. However in the late nineteen sixties and early nineteen
seventies gold was worth between six hundred and seven hundred dollars
of a less devalued currency. It seems that the value of gold can fluctuate
by a factor of two or so.
Another method of arriving
at an estimate of great grandfather Julius' fortune is to convert the
gold value of the mark into gold dollars and allow for an average inflation
rate between 1905 and 1992 of about 3% per annum. From 1837 to 1934, according
to the Encyclopedia Britannica's article "Dollar" the price
of I oz. troy of gold was fixed at $20.66. Only under the early Roosevelt
administration was the price changed to $35 per ounce in the hope that
the price of other goods would follow suit. Since President Nixon's time
the dollar value of gold has been allowed to float. Accordingly, the value
of the gold dollar in 1905 was equal to 4.2 gold marks. Let us convert
great grandfather's five million gold marks into gold dollars. We find
an equivalent of $1,190,476. Multiplying this amount by 1.03 raised to
the (1992-1905) th. = 87 th. power yields 15,579,703.or in round numbers
$16,000,000. According to the calculation of the preceding paragraph,
this would yield uncle Alfred an annual after tax income of about $79,000
aunts Gertrud and Martha and their families an income of about $236,000
and grandfather Paul an income of about $314,000. These incomes seem low
in view of what I know of my forebears' lives.
The average inflation
rate of 3% is a rough guess. I have, however, seen an extract from the
"Grundbuch", the land registry in Berlin, which shows the purchase
in 1869 of a piece of property of 589 square meters in area by great grandfather
Julius and his brother Louis for 80,000 Taler. A recent estimate of its
value is 10,000 Deutsche Mark per square meter, or, at today's exchange,
$6,500 per square meter. According to the entry "Taler" in Meyers
Lexicon, the Prussian Taler of 1750, the official currency of Prussia
until 1871, was equivalent to 3.01 gold mark according to a ruling during
the reign of King Frederick II of Prussia. Thus one taler was equivalent
to 0.72 gold dollars from which we find the value of the land being equal
to $97.18 per square meter in 1869. Its value increased by a factor of
67 over a period of 123 years. A representative inflation rate can be
calculated by taking the 123rd root of 67 and subtracting I from the result.
The average yearly inflation rate comes out to be 3.48%. This inflation
rate, rather than the 3% assumed before, brings the total property value
to $23,346,898 somewhat larger than the value according to the first method
of calculation. Since most of great grandfather Julius' fortune consisted
of real property, a comparison of real estate prices then and now is a
fitting method for estimating the rate of increase. Using the previous
assumptions, grandfather Paul would have had a yearly after tax income
of about $458,000, his two sisters about $344,000 and great uncle Alfred
about $115,000.
The above estimate of
the inflation rate is based on the assumption that the price of 80,000
Talers was paid for land without improvements. If there was a building
on the land and a portion of the 80,000 Talers is attributable to the
value of the building, then the estimate of the inflation rate has to
be raised. In an extreme case, the value of the land alone might have
been only about 25% of the purchase price. In that case, the factor of
increase is 4 times 67, or 268, and the mean inflation rate becomes 4.65%.
The estimate of the value of the estate then rises to about 60 million
dollars. This calculation shows that the result is very sensitive to assumptions
about the rate of inflation.
A more likely assumption
is that the value of any building on the land was small because the original
buildings may have been knocked down to make place for those that ultimately
occupied the land until they were bombed out during WWII. The eventual
buildings were large and designed to yield considerable rent from offices
and apartments.. Suppose, therefore, that 75% of the purchase price was
attributable to the value of the land. Then the factor of increase is
89 and the mean inflation rate becomes 3.72% per annum. The resulting
size of the estate is $28,481,147.
The uncertainties in the
calculation are sufficient to allow for a considerable deviation from
these numbers by as much as a factor of two. A more precise determination
could be made by examining the actual income, insofar as it is known,
and the actual expenditures and comparing prices in 1905 with today's
prices. The value of further speculation about these matters is questionable.
Suffice it to conclude as most likely that great grandfather Julius left
an estate that would be worth today somewhere between $20,000,000 and
$30,000,000. 1 can now agree with the old lawyer that, indeed, great grandfather
was a rich man.
Having seen folks in the
last few years make much greater fortunes in various ways, many of them
shabby and despicable, it seems to me most appropriate to base respect
and love of family not on the size of the estate but instead on the artistic
and scholarly accomplishments of the members of the family and, above
all, on their idealism and devotion to service to their fellow man and
woman.
Certainly the history of my family since the tragic years between 1933
and 1945 has shown that money, to say nothing of life, can vanish as quickly
as it appears, and that strength of character must then supplant the crutch
of money. Possession of money is never an excuse for arrogance and conceit,
nor, for that matter, is anything else. Let us remember the famous lines,
in free translation, of the great Pompus Maximus (123 L A*):
While the proud fall and the pompous stumble,
Peace and vacuity bless the poor and humble.**
*Long Ago.
**In fairness, it must be admitted that there are some scholars who
claim that Pompus Maximus (PM) never lived, either in our or anyone
else's era. However, as a sage of antiquity, PM in his many aphorisms
may, or possibly may not, have had a great deal of importance to say
about today's pressing problems.